26 October MBIA Weather Outlook

At 8:00 am today, Sunday, 26 October: For tropical North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf Of Mexico, area of special interest: 10 – 20 °N and 45 – 65 °W.

System One: A tropical wave about 300 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving west 17 – 23 mph over the past 24 hours. The wave is embedded within abundance of tropical moisture with scattered moderate – strong convection east and west of the axis. Widespread showers and scattered thunder showers are expected across the southern Windwards Islands by mid Sunday afternoon into early Monday. There is a low chance of flash flood and landslide in areas so prone across the state of Grenada within the next 24 to 36 hours.

System Two: A small low pressure system, the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine, is producing limited thunderstorm activity over the northwestern Caribbean Sea about midway between Jamaica and Honduras. Redevelopment is not expected for the next day or two while the disturbance interacts with a cold front. After that time, some slow development could occur while the low drifts southward and then westward near the coast of northern Honduras. This system has a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Source: Meteorological Services, MBIA – Fimber Frank, Forecaster.


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